Saturday, April 4, 2026

January 14, 2009

Ponzi Finance Simplified

Ponzi finance is when you declare your dividend and lower your dividend, by diluting your shareholders, all in the same day. The company does not want to come out and say that they can’t pay their dividend. So they declare a diluted dividend. “We are declaring our dividend, and you hereby receive 40% in cash and 60% in shares.”

This is a delay tactic. It delays the inevitable. The more they dilute shareholders, the higher the probability of default. This is another example of The Oldest Trick in the Book. It is exactly what Vornado Realty (VNO) did today.

To refinance or not to refinance

Below is a chart of the rate on the 30 year T-Bond ($TYX). Rates cannot go a lot lower. The question is not IF you should refinance. The question is CAN you refinance? If you can, then you should. This window won’t be open long. If you can, you should.

Peace

30 year yield

30 year yield


Categories: trading

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